TY - JOUR AU - Galev,Evan G. AU - Goetzmann,William N. AU - Rouwenhorst,K. Geert TI - Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative Value Arbitrage Rule JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7032 PY - 1999 Y2 - March 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7032 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7032.pdf N1 - Author contact info: William N. Goetzmann School of Management Yale University Box 208200 New Haven, CT 06520-8200 Tel: 203/432-5950 Fax: 203/432-3003 E-Mail: william.goetzmann@yale.edu K. Geert Rouwenhorst School of Management Yale University Box 208200 New Haven, CT 06520-8200 E-Mail: k.rouwenhorst@yale.edu AB - We test a Wall Street investment strategy known as pairs trading' with daily data over the period 1962 through 1997. Stocks are matched into pairs according to minimum distance in historical normalized price space. We test the profitability of several trading rules with six-month trading periods over the 1962-1997 period, and find average annualized excess returns of up to 12 percent for a number of self-financing portfolios of top pairs. Part of these profits may be due to market microstructure effects. Nevertheless, our historical trading profits exceed a conservative estimate of transaction costs through most of the period. We bootstrap random pairs in order to distinguish pairs trading from pure mean-reversion strategies. The bootstrap results suggest that the pairs' effect differs from previously documented mean reversion profits. ER -