TY - JOUR AU - Coronado,Julia Lynn AU - Fullerton,Don AU - Glass,Thomas TI - Distributional Impacts of Proposed Changes to the Social Security System JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 6989 PY - 1999 Y2 - March 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6989 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6989.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Julia Lynn Coronado BNP Paribas E-Mail: corolynn@gmail.com Don Fullerton Department of Finance University of Illinois BIF Box#30 (MC520) 515 East Gregory Drive Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/244-3621 Fax: 217/244-3102 E-Mail: dfullert@illinois.edu Thomas Glass M1 - published as Julia Lynn Coronado, Don Fullerton, Thomas Glass. "Distributional Impacts of Proposed Changes to the Social Security System," in James M. Poterba, editor, "Tax Policy and the Economy, volume 13" MIT Press (1999) M2 - featured in NBER digest on 1999-06-01 AB - In this paper we assess the degree to which the current social security system redistributes income from rich to poor. We then estimate the impact of various proposed changes to social security on the overall redistributive effect of the system. Our analysis takes a steady state approach in which we assume participants work their entire lives and retire under a given system. Redistribution is measured on a lifetime basis using estimated earnings profiles for a sample of people taken from the PSID. We account for differential mortality, not only by gender and race, but also be lifetime income. Our results indicate that the current social security system redistributes less than is generally perceived, mainly because people with higher lifetime income live longer and therefore draw benefits longer. Remaining progressivity is reduced and even reversed by an increase in the assumed discount rate, since regressive taxes become more important relative to later progressive benefits. We find that many of the proposed changes to social security have surprising little effect on the redistribution inherent in the system. ER -