TY - JOUR AU - Bound,John AU - Solon,Gary TI - Double Trouble: On the Value of Twins-Based Estimation of the Return to Schooling JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 6721 PY - 1998 Y2 - September 1998 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6721 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6721.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Bound Department of Economics University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/998-7149 Fax: 734/998-7415 E-Mail: jbound@umich.edu Gary Solon Department of Economics Michigan State University East Lansing, MI 48824-1038 Tel: 517/353-9933 Fax: 517/432-1068 E-Mail: solon@msu.edu AB - Several recent studies use the schooling and wage variation between monozygotic twins to estimate the return to schooling. In this paper, we summarize the results from this literature, and we examine the implications of endogenous determination of which twin goes to school longer and of measuring schooling with (possibly mean-reverting) error. Endogeneity of between-twins schooling variation is strongly suggested by the extensive (mostly non-economic) literature documenting that the between-twins difference in birth weight is correlated with the between-twins differences in both schooling and IQ. We conclude that twins-based estimation is vulnerable to the same sort of inconsistency that afflicts conventional cross-sectional estimation. We argue, however, that, if one starts with the presumption that endogenous schooling induces upward inconsistency in the estimated return to schooling, the new twins-based estimates may complement other approaches to tightening the upper bound on the return to schooling. ER -