TY - JOUR AU - Samwick,Andrew A. AU - Skinner,Jonathan TI - How Will Defined Contribution Pension Plans Affect Retirement Income? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 6645 PY - 1998 Y2 - July 1998 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6645 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6645.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Andrew Samwick 6106 Rockefeller Hall Department of Economics Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2893 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: andrew.samwick@dartmouth.edu Jonathan S. Skinner Department of Economics 6106 Rockefeller Hall Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755 Tel: 603/646-2535 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: jonathan.skinner@dartmouth.edu AB - How has the emergence of defined contribution pension plans, such as 401(k)s, affected the financial security of future retirees? We consider this question using a detailed survey of pension formulas in the Survey of Consumer Finances. Our simulations show that average and median pension benefits are higher under defined contribution plans that for defined benefit plans. Defined benefit plans are slightly better at providing minimum benefits, but for plausible values of risk aversion, a defined contribution plan drawn randomly from those available in 1995 is still preferred to a defined benefit plan drawn randomly from those available in 1983. This result is robust to different assumptions regarding the spending of defined contribution balances between jobs, equity rates of return, and the date of retirement. In short, we suggest that defined contribution plans can strengthen the financial security of retirees. ER -