TY - JOUR AU - Heckman,James J. AU - Smith,Jeffrey A. TI - Evaluating the Welfare State JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 6542 PY - 1998 Y2 - May 1998 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6542 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6542.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James J. Heckman Department of Economics The University of Chicago 1126 E. 59th Street Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-0634 Fax: 773/702-8490 E-Mail: jjh@uchicago.edu Jeffrey Smith Department of Economics University of Michigan 238 Lorch Hall 611 Tappan Street Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/764-5359 E-Mail: econjeff@umich.edu AB - A variety of criteria are relevant for evaluating alternative policies in democratic societies composed of persons with diverse values and perspectives. In this paper, we consider alternative criteria for evaluating the welfare state, and the data required to operationalize them. We examine sets of identifying assumptions that bound, or exactly produce, these alternative criteria given the availability of various types of data. We consider the economic questions addressed by two widely-used econometric evaluation estimators and relate them to the requirements of a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis. We present evidence on how the inference from the most commonly used econometric evaluation estimator is modified when the direct costs of a program are fully assessed, including the welfare costs of the taxes required to support the program. Finally, we present evidence of the empirical inconsistency of alternative criteria derived from evaluations based on on self-selection and attrition decisions, and on self-reported evaluations from questionnaires when applied to a prototypical job training program. ER -