TY - JOUR AU - Baldwin,Robert E. AU - Magee,Christopher S. TI - Is Trade Policy for Sale? Congressional Voting on Recent Trade Bills JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 6376 PY - 1998 Y2 - January 1998 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6376 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w6376.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert E. Baldwin University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Economics 7321 Social Science Building 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53706 Tel: 608/263-7397 Fax: 608/263-3876;608/233-8284 E-Mail: rebaldwi@facstaff.wisc.edu AB - This paper examines voting by members of Congress on three trade bills introduced in 1993 and 1994: the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the agreements concluded in the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations (GATT), and most-favored nation status for China. We first review recnet political economy models of trade policy and then presenting a brief legislative history of the three bills, use these models to formulate an empirical specification of political behavior. In our empirical tests, we find evidence that campaign contributions given be political action committees influenced legislators' votes on both the NAFTA and GATT bills. Contributions from labor groups were associated with votes against freer trade, while contributions from business groups were associated with votes in favor of freer trade. We also find that the broad policy views of the legislators, industry employment in each member's state or congressional district, and general economic conditions in the district or state affected voting on the trade bills. ER -