@techreport{NBERw6375, title = "Human Behavior and the Efficiency of the Financial System", author = "Robert J. Shiller", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "6375", year = "1998", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w6375", abstract = {Recent literature in empirical finance is surveyed in its relation to underlying behavioral principles, principles which come primarily from psychology, sociology and anthropology. The behavioral principles discussed are: prospect theory, regret and cognitive dissonance mental compartments, overconfidence, over- and underreaction, representativeness heuristic disjunction effect, gambling behavior and speculation, perceived irrelevance of history thinking, quasi-magical thinking, attention anomalies, the availability heuristic contagion, and global culture.}, }