TY - JOUR AU - Shapiro,Matthew D. AU - Wilcox,David W. TI - Alternative Strategies for Aggregating Prices in the CPI JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5980 PY - 1999 Y2 - April 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5980 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5980.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Matthew D. Shapiro Department of Economics University of Michigan 611 Tappan St Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/764-5419 Fax: 734 764-2769 E-Mail: shapiro@umich.edu David Wilcox Federal Reserve Board 20th and Constitution Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20551 Tel: 202/452-2991 Fax: 202/452-5296 E-Mail: david.w.wilcox@frb.gov AB - The Consumer Price Index does not take into account the fact that consumers alter the composition of their purchases in response to changes in relative prices. This substitution effect will cause the CPI to grow faster than the cost of living. This paper presents new estimates showing that this bias in the CPI averaged 0.3 percentage points per year between December 1986 and December 1995. This bias could be eliminated by using a superlative index to aggregate prices across the item-area strata of the CPI. The paper discusses the practical difficulties in implementing such a calculation and suggests a method for overcoming them. In particular, it shows how to construct an accurate approximation to a superlative price index that can be published with the same timeliness as the CPI. ER -