TY - JOUR AU - Feenstra,Robert C. AU - Rose,Andrew K. TI - Putting Things in Order: Patterns of Trade Dynamics and Growth JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5975 PY - 1997 Y2 - March 1997 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5975 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5975.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert C. Feenstra Department of Economics University of California, Davis One Shields Avenue Davis, CA 95616 Tel: 530/752-7022 Fax: 530/752-9382 E-Mail: rcfeenstra@ucdavis.edu Andrew K. Rose Haas School of Business Administration University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 Tel: 510/642-6609 Fax: 510/642-4700 E-Mail: arose@haas.berkeley.edu AB - We develop a procedure to rank-order countries and commodities using dis-aggregated American imports data. We find strong evidence that both countries and commodities can be ranked, consistent with the product cycle' hypothesis. Countries habitually begin to export goods to the United States according to an ordering; goods are also exported in order. We estimate these orderings using a semi-parametric methodology which takes account of the fact that most goods are not exported by most countries in our sample. Our orderings seem sensible, robust and intuitive. For instance, our country rankings derived from dis-aggregated trade data turn out to be highly correlated with macroeconomic phenomena such as national productivity levels and growth rates. ER -