NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Putting Things in Order: Patterns of Trade Dynamics and Growth

Robert C. Feenstra, Andrew K. Rose

NBER Working Paper No. 5975
Issued in March 1997
NBER Program(s):   IFM   ITI

We develop a procedure to rank-order countries and commodities using dis-aggregated American imports data. We find strong evidence that both countries and commodities can be ranked, consistent with the product cycle' hypothesis. Countries habitually begin to export goods to the United States according to an ordering; goods are also exported in order. We estimate these orderings using a semi-parametric methodology which takes account of the fact that most goods are not exported by most countries in our sample. Our orderings seem sensible, robust and intuitive. For instance, our country rankings derived from dis-aggregated trade data turn out to be highly correlated with macroeconomic phenomena such as national productivity levels and growth rates.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w5975

Published: Feenstra, Robert C. and Andrew K. Rose. "Putting Things In Order: Trade Dynamics And Product Cycles," Review of Economics and Statistics, 2000, v82(3,Aug), 369-382.

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