TY - JOUR AU - Christopherson,Jon A. AU - Ferson,Wayne E. AU - Glassman,Debra A. TI - Conditioning Manager Alphas on Economic Information: Another Look at the Persistence of Performance JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5830 PY - 1996 Y2 - November 1996 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5830 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5830.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Wayne E. Ferson Department of Finance and Business Economics University of Southern California 3670 Trousdale Parkway Suite 308 Los Angeles, CA 90089-0804 Tel: 213/740-5615 Fax: 213/740-6650 E-Mail: ferson@marshall.usc.edu AB - This paper evaluates persistence in the performance of institutional equity managers. We build on recent work on conditional performance evaluation, using time-varying conditional expected returns and risk measures. We find evidence that the investment performance of pension fund managers persists over time. A conditional approach is able to better detect this persistence and to predict the future performance of the funds than are traditional methods. The performance persistence is especially concentrated in the managers with negative prior-period conditional alphas. " ER -