@techreport{NBERw5761, title = "The Transition Path in Privatizing Social Security", author = "Martin Feldstein and Andrew Samwick", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "5761", year = "1996", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w5761", abstract = {This paper analyzes the transition from the existing pay-as-you-go Social Security program to a system of funded Mandatory" Individual Retirement Accounts (MIRAs). Because of the high return on real capital relative to the very low return in a mature pay-as-you-go program, the benefits that can be financed with the existing 12.4 percent payroll tax could eventually be funded with mandatory contributions of only 2.1 percent of payroll. A transition to that fully funded program could be done with a surcharge of less than 1.5 percent of payroll during the early part of the transition. After 25 years, the combination of financing the pay-as-you-go benefits and accumulating the funded accounts would require less than the current 12.4 percent of payroll. The paper also discusses how a MIRA system could deal with the benefits of low income employees and with the risks associated with uncertain longevity and fluctuating market returns.}, }