TY - JOUR AU - Haurin,Donald R. AU - Hendershott,Patric H. AU - Wachter,Susan M. TI - Expected Home Ownership and Real Wealth Accumulation of Youth JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5629 PY - 1996 Y2 - June 1996 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5629 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5629.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Donald R. Haurin E-Mail: haurin.2@osu.edu Patric H. Hendershott Fisher Hall Ohio State University 2100 Neil Avenue Columbus, OH 43210 Tel: 218/963-1393 Fax: 218/963-9484 E-Mail: hendershott.2@osu.edu AB - This paper describes the real wealth accumulation of American youth and relates this behavior to variations in real constant-quality house prices in their localities of residence. We argue that increases in the real constant-quality house price have two offsetting effects on wealth. First, the greater the local constant-quality price of housing, the greater the wealth needed to meet the lender imposed down payment constraint if housing demand is price inelastic. However, increased real constant-quality house price reduces the likelihood of home ownership and thus the desire the accumulate wealth needed for a down payment. Using a panel data set for youth age 20-33 for the years 1985 through 1990 we find that the combined direct and indirect impact of variations in real constant-quality house price on wealth is modest for changes near the average real house price, but youths' wealth declines substantially in areas with high real house price. ER -