TY - JOUR AU - Ball,Laurence TI - Disinflation and the NAIRU JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5520 PY - 1996 Y2 - March 1996 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5520 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5520.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Laurence M. Ball Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, MD 21218 Tel: 410/516-7605 Fax: 410/516-7600 E-Mail: lball@jhu.edu M1 - published as Laurence M. Ball. "Disinflation and the NAIRU," in Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer, Editors, "Reducing Inflation: Motivation and Strategy" University of Chicago Press (1997) AB - This paper asks why the NAIRU rose in most OECD countries in the 1980s. I find that a central cause was the tight monetary policy used to reduce inflation. The evidence comes from a cross-country comparison: countries with larger decreases in inflation and longer disinflationary periods have larger rises in the NAIRU. Imperfections in the labor market have little direct relation to changes in the NAIRU, but long-term unemployment benefits magnify the effects of disinflation. These results support `hysteresis' theories of unemployment. ER -