@techreport{NBERw5496, title = "Rational Capital Budgeting in an Irrational World", author = "Jeremy C. Stein", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "5496", year = "1996", month = "March", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w5496", abstract = {This paper addresses the following basic capital budgeting question: Suppose that cross-sectional differences in stock returns can be predicted based on variables other than beta (e.g., book-to- market), and that this predictability reflects market irrationality rather than compensation for fundamental risk. In this setting, how should companies determine hurdle rates? I show how factors such as managerial time horizons and financial constraints affect the optimal hurdle rate. Under some circumstances, beta can be useful as a capital budgeting tool, even if it is of no use in predicting stock returns.}, }