TY - JOUR AU - Gustman,Alan L. AU - Steinmeier,Thomas L. TI - Privatizing Social Security: First Round Effects of a Generic, VoluntaryPrivatized U.S. Social Security System JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5362 PY - 1995 Y2 - November 1995 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5362 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5362.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Alan L. Gustman Department of Economics Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2641 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: ALAN.L.GUSTMAN@DARTMOUTH.EDU AB - This paper investigates individual responses to a simple scheme to privatize social security. The analysis explores the sensitivity of outcomes to how individuals project life expectancy, how they value spouse and survivor benefits, and to expected future reductions in social security benefits. Depending on assumptions made, first year participation ranges from 20% to almost 100%. Estimated time paths for taxes decline immediately with privatization, but the decline in benefits grows slowly over a period of two or three decades. Labor force participation rates are not greatly affected by privatization, even if major changes in pensions are induced. ER -