@techreport{NBERw5305, title = "Complementarities and Comovements", author = "John Shea", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "5305", year = "1995", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w5305", abstract = {Short-run interindustry comovement may be due either to common shocks or to complementarities that propagate shocks across sectors. This paper assesses the importance of input-output linkages, aggregate activity spillovers, and local activity spillovers to comovement in postwar US manufacturing. I find that input-output linkages and local activity spillovers are important to comovement, while aggregate activity spillovers are not important. I find that complementarities are important to aggregate volatility, even after I remove observable aggregate shocks from the data. Local spillovers are particularly important, explaining between 15 and 36 percent of manufacturing employment volatility.}, }