TY - JOUR AU - Eberts,Randall W. AU - Montgomery,Edward TI - Cyclical versus Secular Movements in Employment Creation and Destruction JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5162 PY - 1995 Y2 - June 1995 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5162 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5162.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Edward B. Montgomery Dean, Georgetown Public Policy Institute Georgetown University 3520 Prospect Street NW, 4th Floor Washington DC 20007 Tel: 202/687-7051 Fax: 202/687-1904 E-Mail: ebm48@georgetown.edu AB - This paper offers an analysis of cyclical and secular patterns in job turnover using establishment-level data. We provide evidence from multiple data sets that show that the job turnover process is markedly different over time and across regions. Over time, we find that employment fluctuations are associated primarily with job destruction. Across regions, employment differences are associated more with job creation. Differences were found between the cyclical (within) and secular (across state) responses in job creation and destruction to output shocks. Movements in job creation and destruction were also found to be related to the types of human capital externalities or technological spillovers used to explain long-run differences in regional or national growth rates. ER -