TY - JOUR AU - Kiyotaki,Nobuhiro AU - Moore,John TI - Credit Cycles JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5083 PY - 1995 Y2 - April 1995 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5083 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5083.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Nobuhiro Kiyotaki Department of Economics Princeton University Fisher Hall Princeton, NJ 08544-1021 Tel: 609-258-4000 Fax: 609-258-6419 E-Mail: kiyotaki@princeton.edu John Moore William Robertson Building Edinburgh Scotland, EH8 9JY U.K. E-Mail: j.h.moore@ed.ac.uk AB - This paper is a theoretical study into how credit constraints interact with aggregate economic activity over the business cycle. We construct a model of a dynamic economy in which lenders cannot force borrowers to repay their debts unless the debts are secured. In such an economy, durable assets such as land, buildings and machinery play a dual role: they are not only factors of production, but they also serve as collateral for loans. Borrowers' credit limits are affected by the prices of the collateralized assets. And at the same time, these prices are affected by the size of the credit limits. The dynamic interaction between credit limits and asset prices turns out to be a powerful transmission mechanism by which the effects of shocks persist, amplify, and spill over to other sectors. We show that small, temporary shocks to technology or income distribution can generate large, persistent fluctuations in output and asset prices. ER -