TY  - JOUR
AU  - Hansen,Wendy L.
AU  - Prusa,Thomas J.
TI  - Cumulation and ITC Decision-Making: The Sum of the Parts is Greater thanthe Whole
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 5062
PY  - 1995
Y2  - March 1995
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5062
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5062.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Thomas J. Prusa
Department of Economics
New Jersey Hall
Rutgers University
New Brunswick, NJ 08901-1248
Tel: 908.443.1565
E-Mail: prusa@econ.rutgers.edu
AB  - In 1984 Congress amended the antidumping (AD) and countervailing duty (CVD) laws, mandating that the International Trade Commission (ITC) 'cumulate' imports across countries when determining injury. Since 1984 the cumulation provision has been invoked in over 50 percent of the AD and CVD cases.  We estimate that cumulation increases the probability of an affirmative injury determination by 20 to 30 percent and has changed the ITC's decision (from negative to affirmative) for about one-third of cumulated cases.  We also show that the protective effect of cumulation increases as the number of countries involved increases, holding import market share constant. That is, cumulated imports have a super-additive effect on ITC decision-making.
ER  -