TY - JOUR AU - Engle,Robert F. AU - Rosenberg,Joshua TI - Hedging Options in a GARCH Environment: Testing the Term Structure of Stochastic Volatility Models JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4958 PY - 1994 Y2 - December 1994 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4958 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4958.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert F. Engle, III Department of Finance, Stern School of Business New York University, Salomon Center 44 West 4th Street, Suite 9-160 New York, NY 10012-1126 Tel: 212/998-0710 Fax: 212/995-4220 E-Mail: rengle@stern.nyu.edu Joshua Rosenberg Federal Reserve Bank of New York 33 Liberty Street New York, NY 10045 E-Mail: Joshua.Rosenberg@ny.frb.org AB - This paper develops a methodology for testing the term structure of volatility forecasts derived from stochastic volatility models, and implements it to analyze models of S&P 500 index volatility. Volatility models are compared by their ability to hedge options positions sensitive to the term structure of volatility. Overall, the most effective hedge is a Black-Scholes (BS) delta-gamma hedge, while the BS delta-vega hedge is the least effective. The most successful volatility hedge is GARCH components delta-gamma, suggesting that the GARCH components estimate of the term structure of volatility is most accurate. The success of the BS delta-gamma hedge may be due to mispricing in the options market over the sample period. ER -