TY - JOUR AU - Feenstra,Robert C. AU - Shiells,Clinton R. TI - Bias in U.S. Import Prices and Demand JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4841 PY - 1994 Y2 - August 1994 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4841 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4841.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert C. Feenstra Department of Economics University of California, Davis One Shields Avenue Davis, CA 95616 Tel: 530/752-7022 Fax: 530/752-9382 E-Mail: rcfeenstra@ucdavis.edu M1 - published as Robert C. Feenstra, Clinton R. Shiells. "Bias in U.S. Import Prices and Demand," in Timothy F. Bresnahan and Robert J. Gordon, editors, "The Economics of New Goods" University of Chicago Press (1997) M2 - featured in NBER digest on 1994-12-01 AB - The purpose of the paper is to measure the potential bias in the U.S. import price index due to the appearance of new product varieties, or new foreign suppliers, and determine the effect of this bias on the estimated income elasticity of import demand. Existing import price indexes are based on a sample of products from importing firms. We argue that if the share of import expenditure on the sampled products is falling over time, this will lead to an upward bias in the measured index. Using a correction based on the falling expenditure share on sampled countries, we find that the income elasticity of aggregate U.S. import demand is reduced from 2.5 to 1.7, or about halfway to unity. Our estimates suggest that the aggregate import price index is upward biased by about one and one-half percentage points annually. ER -