@techreport{NBERw4770, title = "Estimating a Wage Curve for Britain 1973-1990", author = "David G. Blanchflower and Andrew J. Oswald", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "4770", year = "1995", month = "February", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w4770", abstract = {Following Phillip's original work on the UK, applied research on unemployment and wages has been dominated by the analysis of highly aggregated time-series data sets. However, it has proved difficult with such methods to uncover statistically reliable models. This paper adopts a different approach. It uses microeconomic data on 175,000 British workers from 1973-1990 to provide evidence for the existence of a negatively sloped relationship linking the level of pay to the local rate of unemployment. This 'wage curve' is found to have an elasticity of approximately -0.1. Contrary to the Phillips Curve, no autoregression is found in wages. The paper casts doubt on standard ideas in macroeconomics, regional economics and labour economics.}, }