TY - JOUR AU - Campbell,John AU - Mei,Jianping TI - Where do Betas Come From? Asset Price Dynamics and the Sources of Systematic Risk JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4329 PY - 1993 Y2 - April 1993 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4329 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4329.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Y. Campbell Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 213 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-6448 Fax: 617/495-7730 E-Mail: john_campbell@harvard.edu Jianping Mei Stern School of Business Henery Kaufman Management Center New York University 44 W 4th Street, 7-69 New York, NY 10012 Tel: 212/998-0354 Fax: 212/995-4221 E-Mail: jmei@stern.nyu.edu AB - This paper breaks assets' betas with common factors into components attributable to news about future cash flows, real interest rates, and excess returns. To achieve this decomposition the paper uses a vector autoregressive time-series model and an approximate log-linear present value relation. The betas of industry and size portfolios with the market are largely attributed to changing expected returns. Betas with inflation and industrial production reflect opposing cash flow and expected return effects. The paper also shows how asset pricing theory restricts the expected excess return components of betas. ER -