TY - JOUR AU - Campbell,John Y. AU - Grossman,Sanford J. AU - Wang,Jiang TI - Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4193 PY - 1992 Y2 - October 1992 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4193 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4193.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Y. Campbell Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 213 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-6448 Fax: 617/495-7730 E-Mail: john_campbell@harvard.edu Sanford J. Grossman QFS Asset Management, L.P. 10 Glenville Street Greenwich, CT 06831 Tel: 203/983-5600 Fax: 203/532-8250 E-Mail: sgrossman@qfsfunds.com Jiang Wang MIT Sloan School of Management 100 Main Street, E62-614 Cambridge, MA 02142 Tel: 617/253-2632 Fax: 617/258-6855 E-Mail: wangj@mit.edu AB - This paper investigates the relationship between stock market trading volume and the autocorrelations of daily stock index returns. The paper finds that stock return autocorrelations tend to decline with trading volume. The paper explains this phenomenon using a model in which risk-averse "market makers" accommodate buying or selling pressure from "liquidity" or "non-informational" traders. Changing expected stock returns reward market makers for playing this role. The model implies that a stock price decline on a high-volume day is more likely than a stock price decline on a low-volume day to be associated with an increase in the expected stock return. ER -