TY - JOUR AU - Lopez-de-Silane,Florencio AU - Markusen,James R. AU - Rutherford,Thomas F. TI - Complementarity and Increasing Returns in Intermediate Inputs: A Theoretical and Applied General-Equilibrium Analysis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4179 PY - 1992 Y2 - October 1992 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4179 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4179.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes EDHEC Business School 393, Promenade des Anglais BP 3116 06202 Nice Cedex 3 FRANCE Tel: +33 (0) 4 93 18 78 07 Fax: +33 (0) 4 93 18 78 41 E-Mail: Florencio.lopezdesilanes@edhec.edu James R. Markusen Department of Economics University of Colorado Boulder, CO 80309-0256 Tel: 303/492-0748 Fax: 303/492-8960 E-Mail: james.markusen@colorado.edu Thomas F. Rutherford ETH Zurich Zurichbergstrasse 18 8032 Zurich Switzerland E-Mail: trutherford@ethz.ch AB - Conventional analysis in the trade-industrial-organization literature suggests that, when a country has some market power over an imported good, some small level of protection must be welfare improving. This is essentially a terms-of-trade argument that is reinforced if the imported goods are substitutes for domestic goods produced with increasing returns to scale, goods that are initially underproduced in free-trade equilibrium. This paper notes that this result may not hold when (1) the imports are intermediates used in a domestic increasing-returns industry, and/or (2) the intermediates are complements for domestic inputs produced with increasing returns. We then demonstrate such an outcome with respect to Mexican protection against imported auto parts using an applied general-equilibrium model of the North American auto industry. ER -