TY - JOUR AU - Lambson,Val Eugene AU - Richardson,J. David TI - Empirical Evidence for Collusion in the U.S. Auto Market? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4111 PY - 1992 Y2 - June 1992 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4111 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4111.pdf N1 - Author contact info: J. David Richardson Department of Economics 347 Eggers Hall Syracuse University Syracuse, NY 13244-1090 Tel: 315/443-4339;3843 Fax: 315/443-9085;202/328-5432 E-Mail: JDRICHAR@MAXWELL.SYR.EDU AB - A supergame theoretic price-setting model of collusion is calibrated to data from the North American passenger car market before, during, and after the voluntary restraint arrangements (VRAs) with Japan. Conclusions about whether the model is consistent with the bans from the various regimes depend on assumptions about market structure, demand elasticities, and discount factors. If one believes that the price elasticity of auto demand is about one, for example, then the calibrations suggest that in, the pre-VRA and VRA regimes, only General Motors and Ford could conceivably have colluded, and even this limited potential broke down in the post-VRA regime. ER -