TY - JOUR AU - Ball,Laurence TI - Disinflation With Imperfect Credibility JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3983 PY - 1992 Y2 - February 1992 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3983 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3983.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Laurence M. Ball Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, MD 21218 Tel: 410/516-7605 Fax: 410/516-7600 E-Mail: lball@jhu.edu AB - This paper presents a theory of the real effects of disinflation. As in New Keynesian models, price adjustment is staggered across firms, As in New Classical models, credibility is imperfect: the monetary authority may not complete a promised disinflation. The combination of imperfect credibility and staggering yields more plausible results than either of these assumptions alone. In particular, an announced disinflation reduces expected output if credibility is sufficiently low. ER -