TY - JOUR AU - Chah,Eun Young AU - Ramey,Valerie A. AU - Starr,Ross M. TI - Liquidity Constraints and Intertemporal Consumer Optimization: Theory and Evidence From Durable Goods JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3907 PY - 1991 Y2 - November 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3907 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3907.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Valerie A. Ramey Department of Economics, 0508 University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive La Jolla, CA 92093-0508 Tel: 858/534-2388 Fax: 858/534-7040 E-Mail: VRAMEY@UCSD.EDU Ross Starr Department of Economics, D-0508 University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive La Jolla, CA 92093-0508 Tel: 619-534-1055 E-Mail: rstarr@econ.ucsd.edu AB - This paper develops and tests a new set of stochastic implications of optimal consumption behavior in the presence of borrowing constraints. In a departure from previous models, the theory shows that liquidity constraints imply a distinctive intertemporal relationship between durable and nondurable good~ consumption. The presence of binding, liquidity constraints are manifested as part of an error correction term from the long-run cointegrating relationship between durables and nondurables. When liquidity constraints are binding, the error correction term will have predictive power for the future change in nondurable consumption. Empirical tests of the implications using aggregate data support the hypothesis that liquidity constraints, rather than rule-of-thumb behavior, best explain the excess sensitivity of consumption to predictable changes in income. ER -