TY - JOUR AU - Long,J. Bradford De TI - Productivity and Machinery Investment: A Long Run Look 1870-1980 JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3903 PY - 1991 Y2 - November 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3903 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3903.pdf N1 - Author contact info: J. Bradford DeLong Department of Economics 601 Evans Hall University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-4027 Fax: 510/642-6615 E-Mail: delong@econ.berkeley.edu AB - Over the past century the long-run growth of six economies shows a strong association between investment in machinery and economic growth that holds both within and across nations and periods. A similar strong association holds for the post-world War II period for a broader cross section of nations. A number of considerations suggest that this association is causal, and that a high rate of machinery investment is a necessary prerequisite for rapid long-run productivity growth - a hypothesis also supported by narratives from the history of technology. ER -