NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Leapfrogging: A Theory of Cycles in National Technological Leadership

Elise Brezis, Paul Krugman, Daniel Tsiddon

NBER Working Paper No. 3886
Issued in October 1991
NBER Program(s):   ITI   IFM

Much recent work has suggested that endogenous technological change tends to reinforce the position of the leading nations. Yet from time to time this leadership role shifts. We suggest a mechanism that explains this pattern of -leapfrogging- as a response to occasional major changes in technology. When such a change occurs, leading nations may have no incentive to adopt the new ideas; given their extensive experience with older technologies, the new ideas do not initially seem to be an improvement. Lagging nations, however, have less experience; the new techniques offer them an opportunity to use their lower wages, to break into the market. If the new techniques eventually prove to be more productive than the old, there is a reversal of leadership.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w3886

Published: American Economic Review, Vol. 83 (1993).

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