TY - JOUR AU - Cook,Philip J. AU - Clotfelter,Charles T. TI - The Peculiar Scale Economies of Lotto JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3766 PY - 1991 Y2 - July 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3766 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3766.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Philip J. Cook Sanford School of Public Policy Duke University 215 Sanford Building Durham, NC 27708-0245 Tel: 919 613 7360 Fax: 919/681-8288 E-Mail: pcook@duke.edu Charles T. Clotfelter Sanford Institute of Public Policy Box 90245 Duke University Durham, NC 27708 Tel: 919/613-7361 E-Mail: charles.clotfelter@duke.edu AB - The best-selling lottery game in the United States is lotto, a parimutuel game of long odds and large jackpots. Unlike in the other popular lottery games (numbers and instant). there is a strong tendency for per-capita lotto sales to increase with the size of the population base. The fact that the jackpot also tends to increase with population size is not a complete explanation, since the probability of winning tends to be inversely proportional to state population. our explanation for why the games are more successful in large states is that players tend to judge the likelihood of winning based on the frequency with which someone wins; then a larger state can offer a game at longer odds but the same perceived probability of winning as a smaller state. ER -