@techreport{NBERw3635, title = "Why Do Countries and Industries with Large Seasonal Cycles Also Have Large Business Cycles?", author = "J. Joseph Beaulieu and Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason and Jeffrey A. Miron", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "3635", year = "1991", month = "February", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w3635", abstract = {We show there is a strong, positive correlation across countries and industries between the standard deviation of the seasonal component and the standard deviation of the non-seasonal component of aggregate variables such as output, labor input, interest rates, and prices. After documenting this stylized fact, we discuss possible explanations and develop a model that generates our empirical finding. The main feature of the model is that firms endogenously choose their degree of technological flexibility as a function of the amounts of seasonal and non-seasonal variation in demand. Although this model is intended to be illustrative, we find evidence supporting one of its key empirical implications.}, }