@techreport{NBERw3529, title = "Time-Consistent Policy and Persistent Changes in Inflation", author = "Laurence M. Ball", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "3529", year = "1990", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w3529", abstract = {This paper presents a model of dynamically consistent monetary policy that explains changes in inflation over time. In the model -- as in the postwar United States -- adverse supply shocks trigger persistent increases in inflation, and disinflation occurs when a tough policymaker creates a recession. The paper also proposes an approach to selecting a unique, plausible equilibrium in infinite-horizon models of monetary policy.}, }