TY - JOUR AU - Grossman,Gene M. AU - Helpman,Elhanan TI - Hysteresis in the Trade Pattern JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3526 PY - 1990 Y2 - December 1990 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3526 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3526.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gene M. Grossman International Economics Section Department of Economics Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544 Tel: 609/258-4823 Fax: 609/258-1374 E-Mail: grossman@princeton.edu Elhanan Helpman Department of Economics Harvard University 1875 Cambridge Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617-495-4690 Fax: 617-495-7730 E-Mail: ehelpman@harvard.edu AB - We study a world economy comprising two countries that may differ only in their prior experience in the research lab. Entrepreneurs in each country develop new technologies for varieties of a differentiated product whenever expected profits justify up-front research costs. Research productivity depends upon national stocks of knowledge capital, which accumulate in proportion to local research activity. The countries produce and trade their unique varieties of the differentiated good, as well as a homogeneous, "traditional" product. In this context, we ask whether a country can overcome a late start in research to develop a comparative advantage in the high-technology sector. We also examine the welfare properties of the equilibrium trajectory and of policies that might be used to reverse a country's fate. ER -