TY - JOUR AU - Kimball,Miles S. TI - Precautionary Saving and the Marginal Propensity to Consume JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3403 PY - 1990 Y2 - July 1990 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3403 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3403.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Miles S. Kimball Department of Economics University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/764-2375 Fax: 734/764-2769 E-Mail: mkimball@umich.edu AB - The marginal propensity to consume out of wealth is important for evaluating the effects of taxation on consumption, assessing the possibility of multiple equilibria due to aggregate demand spillovers, and explaining observed variations in consumption. It is also a component of the interest elasticity of consumption and the risk aversion of the value function which gives the expected present value of utility as a function of wealth. This paper analyzes the effect of uncertainty on the marginal propensity to consume within the context of the Permanent Income Hypothesis. Given plausible conditions on the utility function, income risk is found to raise the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth in a multiperiod model with many risky securities. The marginal investment portfolio for additions to wealth is also characterized. ER -