TY - JOUR AU - Akerlof,George A. AU - Rose,Andrew K. AU - Yellen,Janet L. TI - Waiting for Work JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3385 PY - 1990 Y2 - June 1990 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3385 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3385.pdf N1 - Author contact info: George A. Akerlof 683 San Luis Road Berkeley, CA 94707-1725 E-Mail: akerlof@econ.berkeley.edu Andrew K. Rose Haas School of Business Administration University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 Tel: 510/642-6609 Fax: 510/642-4700 E-Mail: arose@haas.berkeley.edu Janet Yellen President and CEO Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 101 Market Street San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: 415-974-2121 Fax: 415-974-2113 E-Mail: janet.yellen@frb.gov AB - This paper explains upward job mobility and observed patterns of unemployment by skill as an economy recovers from a recession. Skilled unemployment is due to rational waiting by workers looking for long-term jobs when there is a "lock-in" effect. Lock-in occurs if the conditions in the labor market when a worker first accepts a job have a persistent effect on wages. Using longitudinal data, we provide empirical evidence of the cyclical pattern of wages predicted by the theory and also of lock-in. ER -