TY - JOUR AU - Staiger,Robert W. AU - Tabellini,Guido TI - Rules versus Discretion in Trade Policy: An Empirical Analysis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3382 PY - 1990 Y2 - June 1990 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3382 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3382.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert W. Staiger Department of Economics The University of Wisconsin 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53705 Tel: 608/262-2265 Fax: 608/263-3876 E-Mail: rstaiger@wisc.edu Guido Tabellini IGIER Universita' Bocconi Via Roentgen 1 20136 Milano Italy Tel: 39 2 583 6 3305; fax 3302 E-Mail: guido.tabellini@unibocconi.it M1 - published as Robert W. Staiger, Guido Tabellini. "Rules versus Discretion in Trade Policy: An Empirical Analysis," in Robert E. Baldwin, editor, "Empirical Studies of Commercial Policy" University of Chicago Press, 1991 (1991) AB - We test empirically for evidence that government tariff-setting behavior depends on the degree of discretion with which policy-makers are endowed. We do this by studying government tariff choices under two distinct environments. One environment is that of tariffs set under the Escape Clause (Section 201 of the U.S. Trade Act of 1974). We argue that these decisions afford the government with ample opportunity to reoptimize, and with correspondingly little ability to commit. The other environment is the Tokyo Round of GATT negotiations and the determination of the set of exclusions from the general formula cuts. We argue that these decisions provided the government with a much diminished opportunity to reoptimize, and with a correspondingly greater ability to commit. Comparing decisions made in these two environments allows us to ask whether the degree of policy discretion has a measurable impact on trade policy decisions. Our findings suggest that it does. ER -