Does Homeownership Matter? The Long-Term Consequences of Losing a House during the Great Recession
Working Paper 33692
DOI 10.3386/w33692
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We examine the long-term impact of owning versus renting a home in the United States. Our research design compares two groups of homeowners who experienced similar negative income shocks during the Great Recession but had different probabilities of retaining their homes due to mortgage modifications. While the two groups exhibit nearly identical pre-trends, they diverge by 36 percentage points in home retention. More than half of this disparity persists nearly a decade later, translating into average housing capital gains of $83,000. However, homeownership and housing wealth did not affect creditworthiness, consumption, or neighborhood quality, partly due to tightening credit constraints.
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Copy CitationHeidi Artigue, Patrick Bayer, Fernando V. Ferreira, and Stephen Ross, "Does Homeownership Matter? The Long-Term Consequences of Losing a House during the Great Recession," NBER Working Paper 33692 (2025), https://doi.org/10.3386/w33692.
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