NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Real Rents and Household Formation: The Effect of the 1986 Tax Reform Act

Donald R. Haurin, Patric H. Hendershott, Dongwook Kim

NBER Working Paper No. 3309*
Issued in March 1990
NBER Program(s):   PE

Although the economic literature has analyzed some components of the

headship decision, study of household formation has been primarily in the realm

of demography. We begin with a pure demographic model and expand it to include

additional determinants of the decision to remain with parents or not, to marry

or not, and to live with a group or separately. Our results, based on a sample

of 2355 youth in their twenties, indicate that (1) rental costs, wealth, and the

potential wage that a youth could earn are important variables in explaining the

outcomes of these choices am (2) including the economic variables significantly

changes the estimated impacts of the demographic variables.

One insight that the expanded economic model allows is the prediction that

some public policies will affect headship rates of youth. This prediction is of

interest because choices of living arranqements often have inplications for

demands upon public services and housing. We use as an example the 1986 Tax

Reform Act and focus on a single outcome: the expectation of higher rental

costs. If rentals rise by 20 percent, as predicted by some tax analysts, we

estimate a half million reduction in the number of 1986 households formed by

youth ages 21 to 29.

*Published: Review of Economic Statistics, August 1993, pp. 289-293.

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