NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

An Estimate of a Sectoral Model of Labor Mobility

Boyan Jovanovic, Robert Moffitt

NBER Working Paper No. 3227*
Issued in January 1990
NBER Program(s):   LS

This paper develops a model of sectoral labor mobility and tests its main

implications. The model nests two distinct hypotheses on the origin of

mobility: (a) sectoral shocks (Lucas and Prescott, 1974) and (b) workeremployer

mismatch (Jovanovic, 1979, Miller, 1984, Flinn, 1986). We estimate

the relative importance of each hypothesis, and find that the bulk of labor

mobility is caused by mismatch rather than by sectoral shift. We then try to

put a value on society's match-specific information. That is, we ask to what

extent the availability of the option to change jobs raises GNP. We find that

the mobility option raises expected earnings by roughly between 8.5 percent and

13 percent of labor earnings, which translates to an increase in GNP of between

6 percent and 9 percent.

*Published: Journal of Political Economy, Vol.98, No.4, pp. 827-852, (August 1990).

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