TY - JOUR AU - Sinn,Hans-Werner TI - The Non-Neutrality of Inflation for International Capital Movements JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3219 PY - 1991 Y2 - August 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3219 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3219.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Hans-Werner Sinn Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at University of Munich Poschingerstr. 5 81679 Munich GERMANY Tel: 49-89-21802748 Fax: 49-89-397303;49-89-8506434 (home) E-Mail: sinn@ifo.de AB - This paper studies the question of how unilateral changes in the rate of inflation affect the international allocation of capital. Presenting a model that incorporates a transaction motive for money holding and capital income taxation with historical cost accounting, it counters the view that inflation will be neutral in a world of perfect foresight and costless arbitrage: under mild conditions, domestic inflation will unambiguously induce a capital export. The paper includes a discussion of the Fisher effect. The empirical observation of a less than one-to--one translation of inflation into nominal interest rates is shown to be compatible with the model, and in fact the capital export turns out to be stronger the lower the degree of translation. ER -