TY - JOUR AU - Gale,Ian AU - Stiglitz,Joseph TI - A Simple Proof That Futures Markets are Almost Always Informationally Inefficient JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3209 PY - 1989 Y2 - December 1989 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3209 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3209.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joseph E. Stiglitz Uris Hall, Columbia University 3022 Broadway, Room 814 New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-0671 Fax: 212/662-8474 E-Mail: jes322@columbia.edu AB - Previous work which showed that prices could aggregate perfectly the diverse information of traders depended critically on the assumption that all agents had constant absolute risk utility. We show that either all agents must have constant absolute risk aversion utility, or all must have constant relative aversion in order for the strong form of the efficient market hypothesis to hold generically. ER -