NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

The Wage Curve

David G. Blanchflower, Andrew J. Oswald

NBER Working Paper No. 3181 (Also Reprint No. r1449)*
Issued in September 1990
NBER Program(s):   LS

This paper, which follows in an LSE tradition begun by

Phillips and Sargan, examines the role of unemployment in

shaping pay. In contrast to most of the literature, it

1) uses microeconometric data on individuals

and workplaces

2) examines a variety of data sets as a check on

the robustness of results, and

3) studies the effects of unemployment on the real

wage level (not on the rate of change of payor

prices) .

The paper finds evidence - on British and US data - of a

wage curve. The curve has a negative gradient at low levels

of unemployment, but becomes horizontal at relatively high

levels of unemployment.

*Published: David G. Blanchflower & Andrew J. Oswald, 1995. "The Wage Curve," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026202375x, April. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 92, No. 2, pp. 215-235, 1990.

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