NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Promoting Investment under International Capital Mobility: An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis

A. Lans Bovenberg, Lawrence H. Goulder

NBER Working Paper No. 3139*
Issued in October 1989
NBER Program(s):   ITI    PE    IFM

This paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to

compare, in an economy open to international capital flows, the effects of two

U.S. policies intended to promote domestic capital formation. The two

policies -- the introduction of an investment tax credit (ITC) and a reduction

in the statutory corporate income tax rate -- differ in their treatment of old

(existing) and new capital. The model features adjustment dynamics,

intertemporal optimization by U.S. and foreign households and firms endowed

with model-consistent expectations, imperfect substitution between domestic

and foreign assets in portfolios, an integrated treatment of the current and

capital accounts of the balance of payments, and industry disaggregation in

the United States.

We find that the two policies (scaled to imply the same revenue cost)

differ in their consequences for foreign and domestic welfare, the balance of

payments accounts, international competitiveness, and U.S. industrial

structure. The ITC produces larger domestic welfare gains because it is more

effective in reducing intertemporal distortions, while the two policies have

similar implications for intersectoral efficiency. From the point of view of

domestic welfare, the relative attractiveness of the ITC is enhanced when

international capital mobility is taken into account, a reflection of

international transfers of wealth associated with foreign ownership of part of

the U.S. capital stock. Whereas reducing the corporate tax rate improves the

trade balance initially, introducing the ITC causes a deterioration of the

trade balance in the short run. Reflecting a lower real exchange rate,

export-oriented sectors perform better relative to non-tradable industries

under a lower corporate tax rate than in the presence of the lTC, especially

in the short run.

*Published: Bovenberg, A Lans & Goulder, Lawrence H, 1993. " Promoting Investment under International Capital Mobility: An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 95(2), pages 133-56.

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