TY - JOUR AU - Pencavel,John H. TI - Employment, Wages, and Unionism in a Model of the Aggregate Labor Market in Britain JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3030 PY - 1989 Y2 - July 1989 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3030 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3030.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John H. Pencavel Department of Economics Landau Economics Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6072 Tel: 650-723-3981 E-Mail: pencavel@stanford.edu AB - Two propositions figure prominently in explanations for Britain's comparatively low growth in employment: first, the wage-setting mechanism is insufficiently responsive to the growth of unemployment and, second, there exists a well-defined negative causal relationship from wages to employment with the features of a conventional labor demand function. Using aggregate annual observations from 1953 to 1979, find the evidence for a conventional labor demand curve to be fragile and find little support for the notion that trade union objectives are unaffected by unemployment as some versions of the "insider-outsider" hypothesis would maintain. In general, the empirical results in this paper emphasize that confident inferences about Britain's employment record cannot be drawn from aggregate data. ER -