NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Arbitrage and the Savings Behavior of State Governments

Gilbert E. Metcalf

NBER Working Paper No. 3017 (Also Reprint No. r1583)*
Issued in August 1991
NBER Program(s):   PE

The federal tax code creates strong incentives for tax arbitrage activity

on the part of state governments. This arbitrage activity is illegal and

previous research has typically assumed that the constraint against arbitrage

activity is binding. This paper explicitly tests this proposition by

considering whether financial asset holdings increase as the yield spread

between taxable and tax exempt securities rises. Using a data set on 40 state

governments over a 7 year period, I find that there is a significant response

to changes in the yield spread. One implication of these results is that the

Tax Reform Act of 1986 which made even greater efforts to curb arbitrage

activity is likely to be ineffective.

*Published: The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. LXXII, No. 3, pp. 390-396, (August 1990).

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