TY - JOUR AU - Long,J. Bradford De AU - Shleifer,Andrei AU - Summers,Lawrence H. AU - Waldmann,Robert J. TI - Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 2880 PY - 1989 Y2 - March 1989 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2880 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2880.pdf N1 - Author contact info: J. Bradford DeLong Department of Economics 601 Evans Hall University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-4027 Fax: 510/642-6615 E-Mail: delong@econ.berkeley.edu Andrei Shleifer Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center M-9 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-5046 Fax: 617/496-1708 E-Mail: ashleifer@harvard.edu Lawrence H. Summers Harvard Kennedy School of Government 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-9322 Fax: 617/495-0436 E-Mail: lhs@harvard.edu AB - Analyses of the role of rational speculators in financial markets usually presume that such investors dampen price fluctuations by trading against liquidity or noise traders. This conclusion does not necessarily hold when noise traders follow positive-feedback investment strategies buy when prices rise and sell when prices fall. In such cases, it may pay rational speculators to try to jump on the bandwagon early and to purchase ahead of noise trader demand. If rational speculators' attempts to jump on the bandwagon early trigger positive-feedback investment strategies, then an increase in the number of forward-looking rational speculators can lead to increased volatility of prices about fundamentals. ER -