TY - JOUR AU - Feinstein,Jonathan AU - McFadden,Daniel TI - The Dynamics of Housing Demand by the Elderly: Wealth, Cash Flow, and Demographic Effects JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 2471 PY - 1987 Y2 - December 1987 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2471 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2471.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jonathan Feinstein Yale School of Management Box 20-8200 New Haven, CT 06520-8200 Tel: 203/432-5978 Fax: 203/432-6974 E-Mail: jonathan.feinstein@yale.edu Daniel L. McFadden University of California, Berkeley Department of Economics 549 Evans Hall #3880 Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-8428 Fax: 510/642-0638 E-Mail: mcfadden@econ.berkeley.edu M1 - published as Jonathan Feinstein, Daniel McFadden. "The Dynamics of Housing Demand by the Elderly: Wealth, Cash Flow, and Demographic Effects," in David A. Wise, editor, "The Economics of Aging" University of Chicago Press (1989) M2 - featured in NBER digest on 1988-12-01 AB - Using Waves one through fifteen of the PSID data set, we investigate the pattern of housing mobility amongst the elderly. We focus especially on two issues: (1) Determining which household characteristics tend to increase the probability of a move; and (2) Whether elderly households systematically move to smaller, less expensive dwellings when they do move, and, if so, which characteristics make such "downsizing" particularly likely. We find that wealthier households are less likely to move and to downsize, and that changes in family composition or retirement status significantly increase the likelihood of a move. We do not find much evidence of imperfections in the housing market, or of pervasive liquidity constraints. Finally, we develop a Lagrange Multiplier test for unobserved heterogeneity amongst elderly households, and strongly reject the null hypothesis of homogeneity. ER -