@techreport{NBERw2450, title = "What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series?", author = "Danny Quah", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "2450", year = "1987", month = "November", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w2450", abstract = {It is often argued that the presence of a unit root in aggregate output implies that there is no "business cycle": the economy does not return to trend following a disturbance. This paper makes this notion precise, but then develops a simple aggregative model where this relation is contradicted. In the model output both has a unit root, and displays repeated short-run fluctuations around a deterministic trend. Some summary statistical evidence is presented that suggests the phenomena described in the paper is not without empirical basis.}, }